Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228597           2          28          59          11           0        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000944980           1          15          58          23           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.25000e-07           7          63          30           0           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =       20.0000          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                             5.50       41.00       43.50        9.25        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B6.4