Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233375           3          16          61          18           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102947           1          15          63          16           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   1.83000e-07           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             4.00       30.50       51.00       12.75        1.75     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5