Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234896           5           9          60          23           3        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105191           3           8          64          17           8        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   2.11000e-07           2          44          47           7           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       48.0000           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             3.50       20.50       58.50       14.00        3.50     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C5.7