Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237236           2          10          63          20           5        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109675           4           3          71          21           1        C4.0
GOES Xray  =   2.21000e-07           2          43          49           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       49.0000           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.75       18.75       62.50       13.75        2.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2