Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241540           1           3          65          25           6        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00118442           1           1          63          32           3        C5.9
GOES Xray  =   2.99000e-07           3          20          70           7           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             2.00       12.50       64.75       17.75        3.00     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2