Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247126           1           4          54          36           5        C7.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00121713           1           3          63          30           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.13000e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       43.0000           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             1.50       11.00       62.75       21.75        3.00     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4