Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236308           2          14          57          23           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103591           2          13          64          14           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   2.84000e-07           2          25          66           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.00       24.00       57.50       12.50        3.00     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B4.9