Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233632           4          14          61          19           2        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103707           3          12          62          15           8        C3.4
GOES Xray  =   2.11000e-07           2          44          47           7           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       41.0000           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.50       26.50       55.00       12.00        3.00     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7