Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237578           1           7          67          21           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109411           4           3          72          20           1        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   2.95000e-07           3          22          66           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       41.0000           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.25       17.00       63.75       14.25        1.75     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9