Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236978           2          12          61          20           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112985           1           5          61          30           3        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   2.41000e-07           3          33          55           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       62.0000           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             2.75       16.00       59.00       19.75        2.50     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      B5.6