Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249012           2           3          59          28           8        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127160           2           0          63          30           5        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   5.48000e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.0
est. ISN   =       98.0000           1           1          68          25           5        C5.9
 
together                             1.50        1.00       65.00       27.25        5.25     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3