Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00260101           1           2          60          34           3        C6.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00143141           1           2          57          34           6        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   7.32000e-07           1           0          51          39           9        C9.6
est. ISN   =       106.000           1           1          63          28           7        C6.9
 
together                             0.50        1.75       57.75       33.75        6.25     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7