Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255679           1           3          64          31           1        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139296           1           1          58          34           6        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.59000e-07           1           0          70          25           4        C5.3
est. ISN   =       105.000           1           1          65          26           7        C6.4
 
together                             0.25        1.75       64.50       29.00        4.50     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.0