Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00261448           1           1          59          35           4        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00143911           1           2          56          35           6        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   7.53000e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =       101.000           1           1          67          26           5        C5.5
 
together                             0.50        1.50       57.75       34.50        5.75     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0