Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00266121           1           1          56          35           7        C7.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00143723           1           2          57          34           6        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   1.00000e-06           1           0          31          59           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =       97.0000           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             0.75        1.00       52.25       39.25        6.75     C8.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.0