Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263170           1           1          59          35           4        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00137970           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   8.98000e-07           1           0          49          44           6        M1.0
est. ISN   =       107.000           1           0          60          32           7        C8.2
 
together                             0.50        1.00       56.75       36.25        5.50     C7.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2