Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00254791           1           4          62          33           0        C6.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00127377           2           0          64          30           4        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   6.78000e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.5
est. ISN   =       105.000           1           1          65          26           7        C6.4
 
together                             1.25        1.25       62.00       31.25        4.25     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.3