Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00258683           1           1          63          33           2        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00134945           1           0          59          34           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.61000e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =       84.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             0.75        0.75       57.50       35.75        5.25     C7.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7