Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251098           3           4          68          21           4        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128394           1           0          64          31           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.96000e-07           3           1          61          35           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =       78.0000           1           5          65          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             2.00        2.50       64.50       27.75        3.25     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      C6.5