Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244379           1           2          61          35           1        C6.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122816           1           2          63          31           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   3.59000e-07           2           5          76          17           0        C2.7
est. ISN   =       59.0000           3          19          61          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             1.50        7.25       65.25       24.75        1.25     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2