Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238963           2           4          69          20           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00112333           2           5          63          28           2        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   3.12000e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       41.0000           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             3.00       14.00       64.75       16.00        2.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      B5.2