Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237586           1           7          66          22           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107420           3           4          72          18           3        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   2.91000e-07           2          22          68           8           0        C1.7
est. ISN   =       28.0000           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                             3.25       21.75       59.50       13.75        1.75     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C5.8