Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231894           3          16          57          22           2        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000965821           3          20          51          22           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   2.44000e-07           3          35          54           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       31.0000           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             3.50       29.50       50.50       15.00        1.50     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1