Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230171           1          21          59          16           3        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000954042           2          15          55          25           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   2.32000e-07           4          35          52           9           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       36.0000           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             3.50       30.75       49.25       15.00        1.50     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      B7.7