Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226076           4          36          47          13           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000880042           1          39          48          12           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   1.71000e-07          11          48          35           6           0        B7.9
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                             5.25       42.50       42.75        9.25        0.25     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B6.5