Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00225751           5          42          44           9           0        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000867589           4          40          47           9           0        C1.4
GOES Xray  =   1.84000e-07           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       36.0000           7          52          31          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             5.75       44.50       40.50        9.25        0.00     B9.9
 
realized                                                                                      B6.6