Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00219820          10          41          42           7           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000760962          12          42          38           8           0        B7.4
GOES Xray  =   1.35000e-07           7          65          27           1           0        B6.5
est. ISN   =       40.0000           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             8.75       48.00       37.50        5.50        0.25     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1