Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00216092          33          47          18           2           0        B2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000686363          24          53          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.06000e-07           7          58          32           3           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =       34.0000           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                            17.75       51.25       26.00        5.00        0.00     B4.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)