Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00214486          33          49          15           3           0        B2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000663922          29          61           9           1           0        B1.9
GOES Xray  =   1.18000e-07           8          58          33           1           0        B6.1
est. ISN   =       32.0000           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                            18.50       53.50       23.75        4.25        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1