Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218452          19          50          30           1           0        B4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000723424          30          48          18           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.90000e-07           6          47          40           7           0        B9.5
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                            14.75       42.50       37.25        4.75        0.75     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9