Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222046           6          47          40           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000769291          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.70000e-07           1          34          59           6           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             6.00       35.00       50.50        8.25        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.4