Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217698          25          56          18           1           0        B3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000689336          24          53          19           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   1.42000e-07           8          65          26           1           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =       39.0000           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                            15.50       55.25       26.00        3.00        0.25     B5.5
 
realized                                                                                      B6.6