Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00218177          20          51          28           1           0        B4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000683472          25          55          16           4           0        B2.8
GOES Xray  =   1.51000e-07          10          61          27           2           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =       37.0000           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                            15.25       54.00       26.50        4.25        0.00     B5.7
 
realized                                                                                      B4.7