Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220009           9          43          41           7           0        B8.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000718795          28          48          20           4           0        B3.1
GOES Xray  =   1.75000e-07          11          46          36           7           0        B8.5
est. ISN   =       30.0000           5          46          41           8           0        B9.9
 
together                            13.25       45.75       34.50        6.50        0.00     B6.9
 
realized                                                                                      B2.7