Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220346           8          45          38           9           0        B8.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000724949          29          47          19           5           0        B3.0
GOES Xray  =   1.88000e-07           6          46          39           9           0        B9.6
est. ISN   =       28.0000           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                            12.50       48.00       32.00        7.50        0.00     B7.0
 
realized                                                                                      B5.1