Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222421           6          47          41           6           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000763987          14          43          36           7           0        B7.2
GOES Xray  =   2.22000e-07           3          41          50           6           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             6.75       39.00       47.00        6.50        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9