Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00222578           6          47          40           7           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000758807          15          41          35           9           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.12000e-07           2          43          48           7           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =       68.0000           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             6.00       34.75       47.50       11.50        0.25     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0