Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00224550           5          49          41           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000742861          20          43          30           7           0        B5.1
GOES Xray  =   4.47000e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             6.50       24.25       53.25       14.50        1.50     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1