Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220794           7          42          41          10           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000701763          25          52          20           3           0        B3.3
GOES Xray  =   2.64000e-07           1          29          63           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =       49.0000           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             9.00       35.50       47.75        7.00        0.75     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5