Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00220464           8          43          39          10           0        B9.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000697975          25          51          20           4           0        B3.2
GOES Xray  =   2.40000e-07           3          33          54          10           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =       42.0000           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                            10.25       40.75       41.25        7.25        0.50     B9.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0