Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00217987          23          52          24           1           0        B3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000654672          35          57           7           1           0        B1.5
GOES Xray  =   1.86000e-07           6          45          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =       32.0000           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                            17.00       50.00       27.25        5.75        0.00     B5.7
 
realized                                                                                      B8.9