Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227635           3          33          53          11           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000836315           4          49          39           8           0        B9.0
GOES Xray  =   3.25000e-07           4          10          72          14           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             2.75       24.00       56.00       16.25        1.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9