Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227478           3          31          54          12           0        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000856133           7          50          36           7           0        B8.1
GOES Xray  =   2.98000e-07           3          22          68           7           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             4.25       28.25       55.25       11.75        0.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4