Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229127           1          23          62          13           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000875178           4          38          49           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   3.32000e-07           4           8          74          14           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =       49.0000           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             3.00       22.00       63.00       11.00        1.00     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5