Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230440           2          20          57          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000898282           3          32          49          14           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   3.07000e-07           4          11          75          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =       54.0000           2          19          62          17           0        C2.5
 
together                             2.75       20.50       60.75       14.75        1.25     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      B6.8