Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231614           3          16          59          19           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000903937           3          29          50          15           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   3.41000e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       60.0000           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             3.00       17.00       61.00       17.25        1.75     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)