Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230542           2          19          59          17           3        C2.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000915294           3          25          50          19           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   2.84000e-07           2          25          66           7           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.00       19.75       56.25       19.50        2.50     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6