Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231361           4          17          59          17           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000909027           3          28          50          16           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   3.34000e-07           4           7          74          15           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =       85.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C7.0
 
together                             3.00       13.25       60.50       20.50        2.75     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6