Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230413           1          19          59          18           3        C2.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000905378           3          30          49          15           3        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   3.23000e-07           4          10          72          14           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =       81.0000           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.50       15.00       60.75       18.75        3.00     C3.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4