Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229706           1          20          61          16           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000897876           3          33          50          12           2        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   2.51000e-07           4          35          51          10           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =       91.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             2.25       22.00       59.00       14.50        2.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1